Basic Econometrics            Aug - Dec 2007          Economics 205  


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    Week

    Date

    Topics

    Readings

    Assignment Due Dates

    UNIT 1: Estimation of and Inference in Simple and Multiple Linear Regressions

    1

     

     

    T Aug 28

    Economic questions and data

    Review of Probability

    SW 1 and 2

     

    Th Aug 30

    Review of Statistics

    Linear regression with 1 regressor

    SW 3 and 4

     

    Th

    LAB 1

     

     

     

    2

     

    T Sept 4

    Inference in simple regression

    SW 5

     

    Th Sept 6

    Theory of simple regression

    SW 17

     

    Th

    LAB 2

     

     

    3

    T Sept 11

    Multiple regression

    SW 6

     

    Th Sept 13

    class canceled

    SW 7

     

    Th

    LAB 3 (not canceled)

     

     

    4

    Mo Sept 17

     

    Initial proposal due 09:00

    T Sept 18

    Inference in multiple regression

    Generalized least squares

     

     SW 7, 18.3 - 18.6

    Gelman and Stern (2006), "The Difference between Significant and Not Significant is Not Itself Statistically Significant," American Statistician, 60 (4)

    Th Sept 20

    Catch-up day

     

    Unit 1 Review handed out

    Th

    LAB 4

     

     

    UNIT 2: Functional forms, Panel data, LDV models, and IV regression

     

    5

     

     

    T Sept 25

    Functional forms

    SW 8

    Unit 1 Review due

    Th Sept 27

    Critical assessment of regressions

    SW 9

     

    Th

    LAB 5

     

     

    Mon Oct 1

     

     

     

    T Oct 2

    Panel data methods

    SW 10

     

     

    Th Oct 4

    Panel data methods

    SW 10

     

     

    Th

    LAB 6

     

     

      Mon Oct 8     Data Description

    due 09:00

     

    T Oct 9

    Binary dependent variables

    Linear probability model

    SW 11

     

     

    Th Oct 11

    Logit and probit models

    Horowitz and Savin (2001), “Binary Response Models,” JEP, Fall

     

     

    Th

    LAB 7

     

     

     

    T Oct 16

    No class ... Fall break

     

     

     

    Th Oct 18

    Instrumental variables (IV)

    SW 12

    Angrist and Krueger (2001), “Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification,” JEP, Fall

     

     

    Th

    LAB 8

     

     

     

    Fri Oct 19

     

     

     

    T Oct 23

    IV and GMM estimation

    SW 18.7

    Murray (2006), “Avoiding Invalid Instruments and Coping with Weak Instruments,” JEP, Fall

    Intro & Lit Review due 10:00

    UNIT 3: Systems of Equations and Time Series regression

     

    Th Oct 25

    Estimating systems of equations

    Parameter identification

    GH & J 17 and 18

     

    Th

    LAB 9

     

     

     

    T Oct 30

    Estimating systems of equations

    GH & J 19

    Unit 2 Review handed out

     

    Th Nov 1

    Experiment and quasi-experiments

    SW 13

     

     

    Th

    LAB 10

     

     

     

    Mon Nov 5

     

     

     

    T Nov 6

    Autoregressive time series models

    Stationarity

    SW 14

     

    Th Nov 8

    Dynamic effects and exogeneity

    SW 15

     

    Th

    LAB 11

     

     Unit 2 Review due in class

      Fri Nov 9      

     

    T Nov 13

    VAR

    Integration and cointegration

    SW 16

     

     

    Th Nov 15

    ARCH models

    SW 16

     

     

    Th

    LAB 12

     

     

     

    T Nov 20

    Catch-up day

     

    Model Development & Predictions due 17:00

     

    Th Nov 22

    No class ... Thanksgiving break

     

     

     

    Th

    No lab ... Thanksgiving break

     

     

    UNIT 4: Quantile regression, Nonparametric estimation, Monte carlo and bootstrap

     

    T Nov 27

    Quantile regression

    Koenker and Hallock (2001), “Quantile Regression,” JEP, Fall

     

    Th Nov 29

    Nonparametric estimation

    DiNardo and Tobias (2001), “Nonparametric Density and Regression Estimation,” JEP, Fall

     

    Th

    LAB 13

     

      Fri Nov 30     Model estimation due 17:00

     

    T Dec 4

    Nonparametric estimation

     

     

    Th Dec 6

    Count data

    Hazard/duration/waiting time models

    TBA

     

     

    Th

    LAB 14

     

     

     

    T Dec 11

    Monte carlo and bootstrap methods

    TBA

    Regression analysis paper due 17:00

      Th Dec 13 Reading day   Units 3 & 4 Review handed out
             
      Th Dec 20 Last day of exams   Units 3 & 4 Review due, 16:00