Basic Econometrics            Jan - May 2011          Economics 205 bpt  


    The lecture links under the "Readings" column are Microsoft PowerPoint presentations.   The best bet is probably to right-click on a link, choose "Save Target As" and download the file to your own computer or disk space. 

    Week

    Date

    Topics

    Readings

    Assignment Due Dates

    UNIT 1: Estimation of and Inference in Simple and Multiple Linear Regressions

    1

     

     

    M Jan 10

    Economic questions and data

    Review of Probability

    SW 1, 2, and 3 including the Appendices

     

    W Jan 12

    Review of Statistics

     

    F Jan 14

    Review of Statistics

     

     

    2

     

    M Jan 17

    no class ... MLK, Jr. holiday

    SW 4

     GH 1: page 60, 2.10 (a), 2.11 (a), 2.12 (b) ... page 61, 2.18 ... page 62, 2.22, 2.23 ...

    W Jan 19

    Linear regression with 1 regressor

     

    F Jan 21

    Inference in simple regression

     

    Krueger & Whitmore (2001), "The Effect of Attending Small Class in Early Grades on College Test-Taking: Evidence from Project STAR," Economic Journal (111, January)

    3

    M Jan 24

    Multiple regression

    SW 5

    GH 2: page 101, 3.11, 3.12 ... page 137, 4.3

    W Jan 26

    Multiple regression

     

    F Jan 28

    Papers & Problems

     SW 6 part 1

    Ziliak & McCloskey(2004), "Size Matters: the standard error of regressions in yhe American Economic Review," Journal of Socio-Economics (33)

    4

     

    M Jan 31

    Hypothesis Tests and CIs

    SW 6 part 2

    GH 3: 5.15, 6.5, 6.6 and click here

    W Feb 2

     

    F Feb 4

    Inference in multiple regression

    Papers & Problems

     SW 7

    Gelman and Stern (2006), "The Difference between Significant and Not Significant is Not Itself Statistically Significant," American Statistician, 60 (4)

    Initial Proposal due 4 p.m. via email
    Unit 1 Review handed out on Friday,
    old exam 1's   (coverage may be different!):    #1    #2   #3

    UNIT 2: Functional forms, Panel data, Limited Dependent Variable models

    5

    M Feb 7

    Functional forms

    SW 8 part 1

    Application: Berg Dale & Krueger (QJE, 2002), "Payoff to Attending a More Selective College"

    W Feb 9

    Functional forms



    F Feb 11

    Papers & Problems

     Unit 1 Review due in class

    6

     

    M Feb 14

    SW 8 part 2

     

    W Feb 16

     

    GH 4: 7.8 (a & b), 7.9, 8.6, and 8.9

    Application: Washington (AER, 2008), "How Daughters Affect Their Legilslator Fathers' Voting"

    F Feb 18

    Critical assessment of regressions
    Papers & Problems

    SW 9

     

    7

    M Feb 21

     

    W Feb 23

    Panel data methods

    SW 10 part 1    PDF

     

    F Feb 25

    Papers & Problems

     

     

    8

     

    M Feb 28

    no class ... spring break

     

     

    W March 2

    no class ... spring break

     

     

    F March 4

    no lab ... spring break

     

     

    9

     

    M March 7

    SW 10 part 2   PDF

    W March 9

    GH 5: 9.2, 9.4, 9.5

    F March 11 Papers & Problems

    Application: Acemoglu, et al. (AER, 2008), "Income and Democracy"

    UNIT 3: Instrumental Variables and Time Series regression

    10

     

    M March 14

    Binary dependent variables:

    LPM, Logit and probit models

    SW 11    PDF

    GH 6: 10.1, 10.4, 10.5, 10.7


    W March 16

    MLE estimation

    Application: Arcidiacono & Vigdor (Economic Inquiry, 2010), "Does the River Spill Over? Estimating the Economic Returns to Attending a Racially Diverse College."

    F March 18

    Papers & Problems

     

    Unit 2 handed out

    old exam 2's      #1  vote1   attend    #2   #3    seatbelts pdf
    Please note that coverage in other semesters may not match up exactly to this semester!!


    Application
    : Cattaneo, et al, (American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2009), "Housing, Health, and Happiness."

     

    11

     

    M March 21

    Instrumental Variables (IV)

    SW 12 part1 PDF

    Angrist and Krueger (2001), “Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification,” JEP, Fall

     

    W March 23

    IV estimation

    Murray (2006), “Avoiding Invalid Instruments and Coping with Weak Instruments,” JEP, Fall

    F March 25

    Papers & Problems

     

    Unit 2 Review due in class

    12

     

    M March 28

    IV estimation

    SW 12 part2    PDF

    W March 30

    IV estimation

    SW 12 part3    PDF

    F April 1

    Papers & Problems

     

    Application: Hoxby (AER, 2000), "Does Competition Among Public Schools Benefit Studentsand Taxpayers?"
    Rothstein (AER, 2007) "Comment on Hoxby (2000)"

    Application: Angrist and Evans (AER, 1998), "Children and Their Parents' Labor Supply: Evidence from Exogenous Variation in Family Size"

     

    13

     

    M April 4

    IV estimation

     

    W April 6

    Stationarity, Trends, Structural breaks

    SW 14 part1    PDF

     

    F April 8

    Problems

     

    GH 7: 11.1, 11.3, 11.4, 11.10, 12.4, 12.5

     

    14

     

    M April 11

    Stationarity, Trends, Structural breaks

     SW 14 part2    PDF

    W April 13

    Stationarity, Trends, Structural breaks

     

    F April 15

    Papers & Problems

     

    Application: Berger and Spoerer (J Econ History, 2001), "Economic Crises and the European Revolutions of 1848"

    UNIT 4: Quantile regression, Nonparametric estimation, Monte carlo and bootstrap

    15

     

     

    M April 18

    Dynamic effects and exogeneity

    SW 15

    W April 20

    Dynamic effects and exogeneity

    F April 22

    Papers & Problems

     

     

    16

     

    M April 25

    no class ... Easter break

     

    W April 27

    Oral Presentations

     

    F April 29

    Oral Presentations

     

     

     

    M May 2

    Oral Presentations

      W May 4      
      Th May 5 Reading day   Regression Analysis Paper due 4:00 p.m.
      F May 6    

    Units 3 & 4 Review handed out
    old exam 3's      #1   #2   college2   bweight      
    Please note that coverage in other semesters may not match up exactly to this semester!!

      W May 11 Last day of exams   Units 3 & 4 Review due, 5:15 p.m.