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Combined Tables
(Standard Error)
| |
Dean |
Edwards |
Gephardt |
Kerry |
Lieberman |
|
| Endorsements by National Politicians |
.41 (.27) |
.83 (.50) |
1.75* (.79) |
-.82 (.70) |
-.34 (.30) |
-.06 (4.44) |
| Endorsements by State Politicians |
.39 (1.59) |
.22 (.11) |
-.02 (.05) |
-.10 (.13) |
.37 (.25) |
.83 (.96) |
| Endorsements by Local Politicians |
-1.43 (2.27) |
-.26 (.22) |
-.05 (.06) |
Dropped |
-.23*** (.07) |
.05 (1.57) |
| Endorsements by Party Officials |
Dropped |
-1.32* (.62) |
.03 (.05) |
24.89 (21.63) |
.23 (.16) |
Dropped |
| Endorsements by Newspapers |
.16 (.45) |
Dropped |
.91 (.71) |
Dropped |
-13.67 (8.91) |
-.81 (.47) |
| Circulation in Newspapers |
.00 (.00) |
Dropped |
.00 (.00) |
Dropped |
.00 (.00) |
Dropped |
| Monday |
1.67* (.65) |
4.05*** (.87) |
1.69** (.63) |
1.84** (.57) |
2.66** (.83) |
1.45** (.46) |
| Tuesday |
1.95** (.65) |
3.13*** (.88) |
2.01** (.63) |
1.51** (.58) |
2.75*** (.82) |
1.09* (.47) |
| Wednesday |
2.38*** (.64) |
3.20*** (.87) |
1.48* (.65) |
1.09 (.59) |
2.76*** (.82) |
.80 (.46) |
| Thursday |
1.18 (.65) |
1.97* (.89) |
.66 (.64) |
1.12 (.60) |
1.32 (.84) |
.20 (.46) |
| Friday |
1.24 (.66) |
2.94*** (.89) |
.75 (.63) |
1.40* (.58) |
2.32** (.84) |
1.05* (.47) |
| Saturday |
-.14 (.65 |
-.22 (.89) |
-.04 (.64) |
-.12 (.58) |
-.48 (.84) |
-.45 (.47) |
| Day in Data Set |
.01* (.00) |
.05*** (.01) |
.03*** (.00) |
.03*** (.00) |
.04*** (.01) |
.01*** (.00) |
| # of Sampled Cands. in Race |
-1.66*** (.42) |
.36 (.42) |
-.24 (.20) |
Dropped |
-.79** (.27) |
-2.06*** (.53) |
| Constant |
9.81*** (2.73) |
-4.17 (2.83 |
-.00 (1.46) |
-1.00* (.49) |
3.08 (1.97 |
12.20*** (3.29) |
| R-Squared |
.37 |
.49 |
.50 |
.34 |
.47 |
.40 |
| *p<.05 **p<.01 ***p<.001 # no data because candidate not in race |
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Table II. Regression Model of Candidate Coverage in all Major Broadcast Outlets in Relation to Specific State Primaries Using Our Group Model
(Standard Error)
| |
Dean |
Edwards |
Gephardt |
Kerry |
Lieberman |
|
| Number of days elapsed since |
.01* (.00) |
.05*** (.01) |
.03*** (.00) |
.03*** (.00) |
.04*** (.01) |
.01*** (.00) |
| R2 |
||||||
| Days approaching |
-.01* (.00) |
-.05*** (.01) |
-.03*** (.00) |
-.02*** (.00) |
-.04*** (.01) |
-.01*** (.00) |
| Days after |
-.58*** (.15) |
-.29 (.17 |
.16 (.10) |
4.44*** (.77) |
.04 (.14) |
-.34* (.11) |
| Days approaching |
-.01* (.00) |
-.04*** (.01) |
-.03*** (.00) |
-.03*** (.00) |
-.03*** (.01) |
-.01*** (.00) |
| Days after |
-.53* (.21) |
-.43* (.19) |
-.19* (.09) |
Dropped |
-.59*** (.10) |
-2.20 (1.62) |
| Days approaching |
-.01* (.00) |
-.05*** (.01) |
-.03*** (.00) |
Dropped |
-.04 (.10) |
-.01*** (.00) |
| Days after |
-.45*** (.08) |
-.38*** (.11) |
-.03 (.08) |
Dropped |
-.19 (.10) |
-.28*** (.07) |
| *p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p,.001 |
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Table III. Regression Model of Candidate Coverage in the National Papers As Related to the Group Model
(Standard Error)
| |
Dean |
Edwards |
Gephardt |
Kerry |
Lieberman |
|
| Endorsements by National Politicians |
+.51 (.46) |
+.45 (1.20) |
+7.25*** (1.83) |
-.02 (1.33) |
-.09 (.58) |
-22.91* (9.42) |
| Endorsements by State Politicians |
+1.88 (2.71) |
+.39 (.27) |
+.07 (.10) |
-.09 (.26) |
.74 (.47) |
5.59** (2.04) |
| Endorsements by Local Politicians |
-1.27 (3.85) |
-.26 (.51) |
-.09 .14 |
(dropped) |
-.44*** (.13) |
4.28 (3.33) |
| Endorsements by Party Officials |
(dropped) |
-1.70 (1.48) |
+.23 (.11) |
-2.49 (41.4) |
.62* (.31) |
(dropped) |
| Endorsements by Newspapers |
-.53 (.77) |
(Dropped) |
+.89 (1.63) |
(dropped) |
-92.91*** (16.87) |
-.41 (1.00) |
| Circulation in Newspapers |
+.00 (.00) |
(Dropped) |
-.00 (.00) |
.00*** (.00) |
(dropped) |
|
| Monday |
+3.28** (1.11) |
+9.00*** (2.10) |
+5.31*** (1.47) |
2.24* (1.11) |
5.82*** (1.58) |
2.90** (.99) |
| Tuesday |
+.57 (1.11) |
-.14 (2.10) |
+1.24 (1.46) |
-.25 (1.11) |
.18 (1.56) |
.20 (.99) |
| Wednesday |
+.62 (1.09) |
+1.95 (2.08) |
+.66 (1.49) |
-.35 (1.13) |
1.59 (1.55) |
1.98* (.98) |
| Thursday |
+1.21 (1.10) |
+3.49 (2.11) |
+2.74 (1.48) |
-.08 (1.15) |
1.85 (1.59) |
2.13* (.98) |
| Friday |
+.85 (1.11) |
+2.09 (2.11) |
+2.06 (1.46) |
.22 (1.11) |
1.62 (1.59) |
.97 (1.00) |
| Saturday |
+.83 (1.11) |
+.87 (2.13) |
+.91 (1.47) |
-1.13 (1.11) |
.70 (1.58) |
.41 (.99) |
| Day in Data Set |
+.03*** (.007) |
+.15*** (.02) |
+.06*** (.01) |
.06 (.001) |
-.08*** (.01) |
.03*** (.01) |
| # of Sampled Cands. in Race |
-.89 (.72) |
+2.29* (1.00) |
-.96* (.46) |
(dropped) |
-2.47*** (.51) |
-10.43*** (1.12) |
| Constant |
5.42 (4.66) |
-.15.35* (6.78) |
+4.82 (3.39) |
.97 (.95) |
14.27*** (3.74) |
64.18*** (6.99) |
| R-Squared |
.28 |
.52 |
.55 |
.39 |
.67 |
.62 |
| *p<.05 **p<.01 ***p<.001 # no data because candidate not in race |
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Table IV. Regression Model of Candidate Coverage in Newspapers in Relation to Specific State Primaries Using Our Group Regression Model
(Standard Error)
| |
Dean |
Edwards |
Gephardt |
Kerry |
Lieberman |
|
| Number of days elapsed since |
.03*** (.007) |
.15*** (.02) |
.06*** (.01) |
.06 (.001) |
-.08*** (.01) |
.03*** (.01) |
| R2 |
||||||
| Days approaching |
-.03*** (.01) |
-.15*** (.02) |
-.07*** (.01) |
-.05*** (.01) |
-.08*** (.01) |
-.03*** (.01) |
| Days after |
-1.20*** (.24) |
-.84* (.41) |
-.15 (.24) |
7.36*** (1.52) |
.10 (.26) |
-.81 (.23) |
| Days approaching |
-.03*** (.01) |
-.12*** (.01) |
-.05*** (.01) |
-.06*** (.01) |
-.06*** (.01) |
-.03*** (.01) |
| Days after |
-2.28*** (.32) |
-2.84*** (.39) |
-.74*** (.19) |
(dropped) |
-1.08*** (.19) |
-4.75 (3.44) |
| Days approaching |
-.03*** (.01) |
-.15*** (.01) |
-.07*** (.01) |
-.06*** (.01) |
-.08*** (.01) |
-.03*** (.01) |
| Days after |
-.91*** (.13) |
-1.3*** (.25) |
-.61*** (.17) |
(dropped) |
-.42* (.19) |
-.48*** (.15) |
| *p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p,.001 |
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© Davidson College, 2004, Department of Political
Science, Davidson College, Davidson, NC 28035
Send comments, questions, and suggestions to Dr.
Patrick Sellers, Professor of Political Science.
Created: 4/29/2004. Last updated: 5/03/2004.